Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-27 0.278223 0.323803 0.376311 0.441688 0.521483 0.616442 0.739103
2025-08-03 0.211412 0.269678 0.344952 0.451150 0.600119 0.806343 1.122020
2025-08-10 0.171429 0.233270 0.320018 0.454377 0.664439 0.993469 1.576725
2025-08-17 0.144862 0.207083 0.300115 0.455360 0.720807 1.183084 2.118406
2025-08-24 0.125057 0.185972 0.281885 0.452154 0.766415 1.367388 2.741142
2025-08-31 0.109264 0.167858 0.264174 0.444386 0.799860 1.539081 3.432648
2025-09-07 0.099998 0.158524 0.258846 0.456606 0.873910 1.821083 4.567208
2025-09-14 0.089372 0.145187 0.244068 0.447276 0.900310 2.006732 5.579912
2025-09-21 0.082276 0.136937 0.237009 0.451522 0.957653 2.293290 7.149500
2025-09-28 0.075635 0.128577 0.228348 0.450416 1.002066 2.566697 8.947845
2025-10-05 0.071507 0.124303 0.226900 0.464693 1.089678 3.011867 11.980318
2025-10-12 0.067501 0.119733 0.224112 0.475250 1.171258 3.485968 15.858465
2025-10-19 0.063713 0.115243 0.221063 0.485230 1.257369 4.040681 21.271696
2025-10-26 0.060632 0.111826 0.219864 0.499854 1.364528 4.759817 29.533972
2025-11-02 0.057136 0.107144 0.215188 0.504467 1.442424 5.423566 39.434959
2025-11-09 0.053789 0.102404 0.209715 0.505808 1.510746 6.107722 52.188026
2025-11-16 0.050484 0.097405 0.202970 0.502216 1.560990 6.754235 67.658766
2025-11-23 0.047213 0.092156 0.194965 0.493400 1.589151 7.316189 85.366275
2025-11-30 0.045472 0.090120 0.194516 0.507293 1.714653 8.605356 125.725230
2025-12-07 0.042643 0.085358 0.186684 0.496687 1.734248 9.238104 159.143912
2025-12-14 0.040794 0.082673 0.183815 0.501514 1.825273 10.510453 227.503647
2025-12-21 0.038820 0.079519 0.179352 0.500257 1.889128 11.678861 315.789836
2025-12-28 0.037727 0.078338 0.179963 0.516493 2.047241 13.929934 521.315304